Ñublense vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 2
NUB
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NUB
1 - 1
COB
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DCO
2 - 0
NUB
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NUB
5 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
NUB
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUR
1 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CUR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CUR
2 - 0
DCO
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |