NSC vs DOS 37 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WVF
0 - 1
NSC
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 1
NSC
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NSC
4 - 2
AZS
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOS
1 - 1
NSC
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NSC
2 - 0
DZC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
DOS 37
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DOS
1 - 0
AZS
29%
24%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DOS
2 - 2
DOS
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DOS
4 - 3
DZC
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCZ
1 - 1
DOS
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DOS
0 - 1
ZWA
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |