Novorizontino vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
NOV
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOV
19%
22%
60%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PEL
4 - 3
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
BSP
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
2 - 1
JEC
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 0
PEL
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |