Novorizontino vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
NOV
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NOV
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
ITU
5 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
ITU
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
PPE
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |