Novo Horizonte vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
UHA
3 - 4
NOV
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
5 - 0
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 1
AIM
13%
19%
68%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 3
RSC
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
IPA
2 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 0
ECS
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
1 - 0
GEB
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
0 - 1
ITU
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
3 - 4
ECS
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
ECS
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |