Novo Hamburgo vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
PPE
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 0
NOV
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
SLU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
NOV
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
SLU
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
5 - 0
ESP
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 3
AIM
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |