Novo Hamburgo vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
TUB
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CIA
0 - 0
FER
29%
30%
41%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 0
CIA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 4
FOZ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
CIA
68%
21%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |