Novese vs Bellinzago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARG
7 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
8%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 7
LAV
12%
23%
65%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAB
6 - 1
NOV
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
FEZ
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
BEL
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
LIG
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VOG
1 - 3
BEL
36%
24%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 2
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |