Novese vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
66%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAV
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 2
SAV
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
SAV
0 - 1
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
SAV
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |