Novese vs Ligorna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SES
1 - 0
NOV
70%
21%
10%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VOG
0 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
VFC
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACQ
3 - 0
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LIG
4 - 2
FEZ
67%
17%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
LIG
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
LIG
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 3
PIN
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 2
LIG
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |