Noves vs Guadamur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FUE
4 - 0
ECG
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ECG
3 - 3
ARG
26%
22%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 1
ECG
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ECG
3 - 2
CDE
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 1
ECG
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
PUE
34%
24%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CTI
0 - 1
GUA
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
REC
41%
24%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
FUE
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARG
4 - 1
GUA
70%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |