Noves vs Casarrubios Balompie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+383%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOC
2 - 0
ECG
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ECG
2 - 0
ESC
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
ECG
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ECG
2 - 0
ARG
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 1
ECG
16%
18%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Casarrubios Balompie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 6
ORG
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CBA
0 - 4
MOC
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 2
CBA
45%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 1
CAL
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
5 - 1
CBA
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |