Novelda UCF vs Univ. Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASP
5 - 2
NUD
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
MUR
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
NUD
5 - 0
BFL
62%
19%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RAV
2 - 2
NUD
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NUD
2 - 0
ALM
32%
24%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
ASP
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
IND
3 - 0
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUR
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BFL
2 - 1
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
RAV
47%
24%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |