Novelda CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
UDS
1 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 1
GRA
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
NOV
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
XER
2 - 1
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
BET
0 - 0
RJA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
RJA
0 - 0
MAL
37%
29%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |