Novelda CF vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 2
NOV
35%
27%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
REQ
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ACE
1 - 0
NOV
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 3
ONT
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
RIB
63%
23%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ORI
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
UTI
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 0
ORI
34%
29%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 3
ALZ
64%
23%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |