Novelda CF vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
ELD
3 - 0
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
NOV
3 - 0
BEN
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TOM
2 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ORI
3 - 0
NOV
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
CFC
2 - 1
GAN
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
CDB
1 - 2
CFC
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CFC
1 - 1
MAN
84%
11%
4%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
ALB
0 - 1
CFC
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
CFC
1 - 0
IMP
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |