Novelda CF vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 4
NOV
31%
29%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 0
DOL
77%
15%
7%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
25%
29%
45%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SPR
1 - 2
NOV
14%
24%
63%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 1
TOR
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ALZ
1 - 1
DEN
30%
29%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
OND
2 - 0
ALZ
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
ALZ
3 - 2
ALC
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ALZ
2 - 1
JOV
44%
27%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
UDC
0 - 2
ALZ
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +2 |