Novelda B vs Manuel-Ènova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
NOV
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
NOV
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
UDC
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
2 - 1
NOV
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manuel-Ènova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EMF
3 - 1
SPO
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
EMF
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
EMF
1 - 4
ALC
49%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UDC
6 - 0
EMF
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
EMF
0 - 1
POB
37%
24%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |