Novelda B vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NUC
2 - 10
NOV
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
NOV
5 - 1
PEA
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ELC
1 - 1
NOV
43%
21%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 3
NOV
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
CCT
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BNY
2 - 3
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 1
ONI
26%
20%
54%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
BIA
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AGO
4 - 0
CAS
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |