Novelda B vs Aspe B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 4
NOV
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
NOV
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
NOV
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
NOV
7 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aspe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ASP
4 - 0
AGO
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ELD
2 - 3
ASP
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 0
UDF
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 2
ASP
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ASP
5 - 1
VIL
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |