Novara U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 1
NOV
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
BOL
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 0
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 0
CHI
49%
24%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
EMP
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 4
SPE
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 7
PRO
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |