Novara U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PCZ
0 - 2
NOV
22%
23%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 1
CES
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 2
NOV
31%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
TOR
41%
24%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 0
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAS
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +3 |