Novara U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 2
NOV
31%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
TOR
41%
24%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 2
NOV
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 2
JUV
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
PCZ
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
JUV
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |