Novara Sub 17 vs Parma Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 1
NOV
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 3
NOV
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 5
NOV
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Parma Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAS
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
EMP
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
FIO
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
PAR
90%
8%
3%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |