Novara vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 2
NOV
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
USC
3 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
FRO
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
COM
0 - 1
GRO
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
FIA
0 - 0
GRO
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 2
ACI
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
PAV
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |