Novara vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LAT
4 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CES
2 - 0
NOV
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
TER
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TRA
0 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
TRA
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
3 - 4
BAR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRA
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |