Novara vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 3
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAG
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 3
USC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
FER
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
COS
0 - 1
TAR
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASA
50%
29%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VER
1 - 0
TAR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 1
VIR
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |