Novara vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
NOV
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 3
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
MOD
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 3
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 2
SAS
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
44%
30%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |