Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
RIM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 1
NOV
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
NOV
3 - 3
PES
38%
33%
29%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
4 - 1
NOV
65%
23%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
COM
36%
34%
30%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 0
AVE
47%
31%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 0
SSS
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
49%
30%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 1
SPA
43%
32%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |