Novara vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
EMP
1 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 3
VNZ
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
PES
0 - 0
CES
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TER
0 - 3
PES
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PES
3 - 2
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
3 - 1
PES
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PES
2 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |