Novara vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
LAZ
3 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 3
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 0
NOV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 2
ROM
20%
23%
58%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NAP
4 - 2
LEC
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
NAP
3 - 3
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 1
MAC
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |