Novara vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PES
1 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 2
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 0
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
ACD
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |