Novara vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
5 - 2
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
36%
26%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAG
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |