Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
LAT
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 1
NOV
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
TRA
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 3
COM
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
LIV
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
COM
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |