Novalja vs Grobničan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
NKC
4 - 3
NOV
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NOV
4 - 1
NOV
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
NOV
5 - 2
NPI
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NKM
4 - 0
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
NKG
2 - 1
NKZ
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
VRB
2 - 1
NKG
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
NKG
5 - 0
MAK
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
JAP
0 - 0
NKG
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NKG
0 - 0
ROV
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |