Copa Espírito Santo Fase de Grupos. Jor. 5

Nova Venecia vs Porto Vitória analysis

Nova Venecia Porto Vitória
54 ELO 39
3.2% Tilt -3.2%
3113º General ELO ranking 4650º
93º Country ELO ranking 169º
ELO win probability
72.5%
Nova Venecia
16.2%
Draw
11.4%
Porto Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
Nova Venecia
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.4%
Win probability
Porto Vitória
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Venecia
-21%
+157%
Porto Vitória

ELO progression

Nova Venecia
Porto Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Venecia
Nova Venecia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2023
CAP
Capixaba
0 - 4
Nova Venecia
NVE
7%
13%
80%
54 14 40 0
20 May. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
4 - 1
São Mateus
SAO
77%
15%
8%
54 33 21 0
13 May. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
5 - 1
SC Capixaba
SCS
85%
11%
4%
54 9 45 0
11 May. 2023
LIN
Linhares
1 - 1
Nova Venecia
NVE
9%
15%
76%
54 23 31 0
22 Apr. 2023
REA
Real Noroeste
3 - 1
Nova Venecia
NVE
33%
23%
44%
56 52 4 -2

Matches

Porto Vitória
Porto Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2023
POR
Porto Vitória
1 - 1
SC Capixaba
SCS
77%
14%
9%
39 10 29 0
25 May. 2023
LIN
Linhares
0 - 3
Porto Vitória
POR
18%
18%
63%
38 24 14 +1
13 May. 2023
POR
Porto Vitória
3 - 0
Pinheiros
PIN
7%
15%
78%
35 67 32 +3
06 May. 2023
SER
Serra FC
0 - 0
Porto Vitória
POR
64%
20%
16%
35 49 14 0
07 Apr. 2023
POR
Porto Vitória
1 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
14%
19%
67%
30 54 24 +5
X