Nova Russas vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IGU
1 - 1
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
UNI
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOV
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 0
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
PAC
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 1
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
ITA
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |