Nova Russas vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
IGU
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 2
ARS
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CRA
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
ITA
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |