Nova Mutum vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+134%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 2
NME
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
NME
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NME
3 - 0
DBO
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
NME
4 - 2
LON
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NME
1 - 3
CUI
10%
22%
69%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DBO
1 - 1
MIX
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 2
SIN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LUV
1 - 1
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 1
MIX
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
NME
13%
19%
68%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +2 |