Nova Iguaçu vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
GOY
1 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
OLA
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
SEC
0 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
MIG
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
AFC
2 - 3
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
AFC
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
GOY
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
CGA
1 - 3
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
OLA
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
VRE
0 - 1
POR
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |