Nova Iguaçu vs Itaborai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
NOV
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 4
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
GOY
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 1
PET
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
OLA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DUQ
1 - 3
ITA
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 1
ITA
32%
24%
45%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |