Carioca 1 Ronda Preeliminar. Jor. 1

Nova Iguaçu vs Friburguense analysis

Nova Iguaçu Friburguense
49 ELO 45
-11.1% Tilt -8%
2695º General ELO ranking 22566º
80º Country ELO ranking 564º
ELO win probability
48.9%
Nova Iguaçu
24.5%
Draw
26.6%
Friburguense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.6%
Win probability
Friburguense
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Iguaçu
+21%
+33%
Friburguense

ELO progression

Nova Iguaçu
Friburguense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
3 - 1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
46%
26%
28%
48 47 1 0
12 Dec. 2020
SAM
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3 - 3
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
45%
25%
30%
48 47 1 0
09 Dec. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
50%
25%
25%
47 45 2 +1
05 Dec. 2020
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
35%
26%
40%
48 44 4 -1
02 Dec. 2020
CMA
Maricá
0 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
33%
24%
43%
48 44 4 0

Matches

Friburguense
Friburguense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2020
AME
Americano
1 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
49%
24%
26%
45 47 2 0
15 Feb. 2020
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
41%
25%
34%
44 45 1 +1
08 Feb. 2020
AME
América RJ
2 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
54%
23%
23%
44 46 2 0
05 Feb. 2020
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 2
Americano
AME
48%
25%
27%
45 43 2 -1
25 Jan. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
47%
26%
28%
44 46 2 +1
X