Carioca 1 Etapas Finales. Final
Global 0-4
Nova Iguaçu vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
73.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAS
14%
22%
63%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
SCI
10%
23%
66%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 2
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 8
NOV
37%
23%
40%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
3%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 0
BOA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |