Rio Cup Round 5

Nova Iguaçu vs Duquecaxiense analysis

Nova Iguaçu Duquecaxiense
53 ELO 7
-8.5% Tilt -9.6%
2281º General ELO ranking 36334º
69º Country ELO ranking 1133º
ELO win probability
80.5%
Nova Iguaçu
14.2%
Draw
5.4%
Duquecaxiense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.4%
Win probability
Duquecaxiense
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Nova Iguaçu
Duquecaxiense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2014
AUD
Audax Rio
1 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
42%
25%
33%
52 51 1 0
27 Aug. 2014
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
35%
27%
38%
52 58 6 0
24 Aug. 2014
AME
América RJ
1 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
33%
26%
41%
52 39 13 0
22 Mar. 2014
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
84%
13%
3%
51 83 32 +1
15 Mar. 2014
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
51%
26%
23%
52 57 5 -1

Matches

Duquecaxiense
Duquecaxiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2014
DUQ
Duquecaxiense
0 - 1
Audax Rio
AUD
13%
19%
69%
8 51 43 0
23 Aug. 2014
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 1
Duquecaxiense
DUQ
78%
16%
6%
8 58 50 0
20 Aug. 2014
DUQ
Duquecaxiense
0 - 5
América RJ
AME
13%
19%
68%
9 39 30 -1