FA Cup . 1/128
Global 2-3
Notts County vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 0
SOL
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOT
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRO
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 1
STO
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 2
LEY
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOT
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
ROC
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 2
SUT
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |