Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
POS
2 - 0
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
NOT
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 2
WYC
28%
27%
46%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 2
POS
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DON
1 - 0
GRI
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 0
DON
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
DON
1 - 1
BPO
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STE
3 - 4
DON
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DON
3 - 1
LEY
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |