Notts County vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
YEO
0 - 0
NOT
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
NOT
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
SWI
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SCU
2 - 2
NOT
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 2
MKD
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRE
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
SHE
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 1
BRE
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |