Notts County vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WYC
2 - 4
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 3
NOT
68%
19%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
COV
3 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
STA
1 - 3
WBA
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STA
2 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
YEO
3 - 2
STA
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
STA
3 - 2
PNE
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |