Premier League Sub 18 North Round 17

Nottingham Forest U18 vs Man. Utd U18 analysis

Nottingham Forest U18 Man. Utd U18
31 ELO 43
-7.1% Tilt -0.1%
12185º General ELO ranking 5484º
694º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
13.6%
Nottingham Forest U18
17.2%
Draw
69.2%
Man. Utd U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest U18
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.2%
Win probability
Man. Utd U18
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest U18
-43%
+11%
Man. Utd U18

Points and table prediction

Nottingham Forest U18
Their league position
Man. Utd U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. Utd U18
62
62
100%
Man. City U18
56
56
100%
Wolves U18
41
41
100%
Derby County U18
37
37
100%
Leeds United U18
33
33
100%
Liverpool U18
32
32
100%
Newcastle U18
32
32
0%
Nottingham Forest U18
32
32
0%
Middlesbrough U18
27
27
100%
Blackburn Rovers U18
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Everton U18
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Stoke City U18
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Sunderland U18
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nottingham Forest U18
Man. Utd U18
Final Series
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest U18
Man. Utd U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest U18
Nottingham Forest U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
EVE
Everton U18
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
41%
23%
36%
31 29 2 0
27 Jan. 2024
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
2 - 1
Liverpool U18
LIV
28%
21%
52%
29 33 4 +2
13 Jan. 2024
LEE
Leeds United U18
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
49%
21%
31%
29 27 2 0
23 Dec. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
0 - 6
Derby County U18
DER
38%
23%
39%
31 32 1 -2
17 Nov. 2023
SUN
Sunderland U18
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
47%
22%
31%
31 30 1 0

Matches

Man. Utd U18
Man. Utd U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
DER
Derby County U18
2 - 2
Man. Utd U18
MAN
21%
19%
60%
44 33 11 0
30 Jan. 2024
MAN
Man. Utd U18
4 - 3
Liverpool U18
LIV
70%
16%
15%
44 32 12 0
27 Jan. 2024
MAN
Man. Utd U18
4 - 0
Leeds United U18
LEE
79%
13%
8%
44 26 18 0
20 Jan. 2024
MAN
Man. Utd U18
1 - 0
Man. City U18
MCI
29%
23%
49%
42 49 7 +2
13 Jan. 2024
NEW
Newcastle U18
1 - 3
Man. Utd U18
MAN
19%
18%
63%
41 29 12 +1