Nottingham Forest vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 0
NTT
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NTT
2 - 0
WYC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NTT
2 - 1
COV
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 1
SHW
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWA
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 1
SWA
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 0
BBU
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |